Kalshi vs Polymarket
Where both venues price the exact same outcome, side by side. The gap is how far the two venues disagree - not risk-free arbitrage; resolution terms, fees and settlement differ between platforms.
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Matched on identical outcomes (Fed decisions, recession) only. For information only - not financial advice.