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Fed lower bound ≤0.5% before 2027

1.6%

Rates/FedPolymarketVol 104kResolves 2026-12-31 (149d)

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No Fed rate cuts in 202688.6%

Polymarket·Vol 6.8M·in 149d

Fed rate hike in 2026?67.5%

Polymarket·Vol 6.2M·in 127d

11 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 5.0M·in 149d

10 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 4.8M·in 149d

9 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 4.1M·in 149d

6 Fed rate cuts in 20260.4%

Polymarket·Vol 3.8M·in 149d