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Fed funds >3.50% after the Dec 2026 meeting

86.0%

Rates/FedKalshiVol 23kResolves 2026-12-09 (127d)

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No Fed rate cuts in 202688.6%

Polymarket·Vol 6.8M·in 149d

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Polymarket·Vol 6.2M·in 127d

11 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 5.0M·in 149d

10 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 4.8M·in 149d

9 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 4.1M·in 149d

6 Fed rate cuts in 20260.4%

Polymarket·Vol 3.8M·in 149d